Toledo
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
70.0
PPG
78.5
Opp
-8.5
Margin
39.7%
FG%
21.5%
3P%
63.2%
FT%
37.8
RPG
16.0
APG
10.3
TO
73.6
Est. poss./game
69.8
Adj PPG
67.0
Adj Opp PPG
#113
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1020 (#130) | Preseason prior 1049 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1028, returning +1, transfers -20, freshmen +40 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#134) | HCA +232 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1001 (#149) | HCA +232 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.6 (#103) | HCA +1.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.6 (#102) | HCA +1.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.372 (#192) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.523 (#134) | AdjNet -0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.524 (#134) | AdjNet -0.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.567 (#113) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.558 (#112) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.547 (#131) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.545 (#130) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1009 (#144) | RD 172 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.597 (#122) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Arkansas State Red Wolves | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Michigan State Spartans | L | 61 - 91 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Marshall Thundering Herd | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Wright State Raiders | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Detroit Mercy Titans | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mynor Strong
|
G | 4 | 32.8 | 16.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 13.5 | 11.0 | -21 | 4 | -5.2 | -6.4 | 46.3 | 17.4 | 86.7 | 0.58 | 55.3 | 50.0 |
Angel Montas Jr.
|
G | 4 | 24.2 | 12.8 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 11.5 | 8.5 | -39 | 4 | -9.8 | -16.2 | 47.8 | 25.0 | 55.6 | -0.65 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
Jaylan Ouwinga
|
F | 4 | 30.0 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 12.8 | 8.0 | -37 | 4 | -9.2 | -12.4 | 39.2 | 23.1 | 66.7 | -1.99 | 44.6 | 42.2 |
Sean Jones
|
G | 4 | 30.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 10.5 | -9 | 4 | -2.2 | -3.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 85.7 | -0.65 | 45.7 | 35.5 |
Austin Parks
|
C | 3 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 8.7 | 7 | 3 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 37.5 | 0.63 | 44.6 | 45.0 |
Will James Jr.
|
G | 4 | 19.5 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 3.2 | -16 | 4 | -4.0 | -8.3 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.52 | 44.0 | 47.2 |
Chris Riddle
|
F | 4 | 15.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 2.8 | -8 | 4 | -2.0 | -5.1 | 23.1 | 12.5 | 66.7 | -0.2 | 38.3 | 26.9 |
Manny Johnson
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 14.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Rich Barron
|
F | 4 | 15.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | -28 | 4 | -7.0 | -18.7 | 23.5 | 16.7 | 25.0 | -0.94 | 26.8 | 26.5 |
Rashaun Porter
|
F | 4 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -9.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 70.0 | 0.05 | 60.8 | 33.3 |
Jaylohn Allen
|
G | 4 | 9.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | -28 | 4 | -7.0 | -30.1 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.21 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
Toby Nwokolo
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -32.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Marco Mattucci
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -32.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Toledo players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Toledo game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins | 2020-22 | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | 12 | 23.4 | 10.8 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 11-11 8 pts, 7 reb, 4 ast | 12 GP, 10.8 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 4.0 APG |
| RayJ Dennis | 2021-23 | NBA | Atlanta Hawks | 1 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11-02 4 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | 1 GP, 4.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Ryan Rollins | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | vs Los Angeles Lakers | 24 | 8 | 7 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Ryan Rollins | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | @ New York Knicks | 24 | 14 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | RayJ Dennis | G League Play-In | College Park Skyhawks | vs Long Island Nets | 35 | 13 | 2 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Ryan Rollins | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | vs Boston Celtics | 20 | 7 | 5 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | RayJ Dennis | G League Play-In | College Park Skyhawks | vs Raptors 905 | 39 | 30 | 5 | 10 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | RayJ Dennis | G League Play-In | College Park Skyhawks | vs Raptors 905 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 11 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
262 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Mynor StrongAngel Montas Jr.Jaylan OuwingaSean JonesChris Riddle
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 37-59 | 62.7 | 74 | Angel Montas Jr. 27% (20 pts) | Austin Parks 16% (12 pts) | Sean Jones 23% (5 misses) | Mynor Strong 14% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-71 | 35.2 | 50 | Angel Montas Jr. 36% (18 pts) | Mynor Strong 24% (12 pts) | Angel Montas Jr. 28% (13 misses) | Jaylan Ouwinga 15% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 15-32 | 46.9 | 30 | Mynor Strong 47% (14 pts) | Jaylan Ouwinga 40% (12 pts) | Jaylan Ouwinga 41% (7 misses) | Sean Jones 18% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-7 | 57.1 | 8 | Jaylan Ouwinga 50% (4 pts) | Mynor Strong 50% (4 pts) | Jaylan Ouwinga 67% (2 misses) | Angel Montas Jr. 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-14 | 42.9 | 12 | Jaylan Ouwinga 50% (6 pts) | Mynor Strong 33% (4 pts) | Jaylan Ouwinga 38% (3 misses) | Austin Parks 12% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Chris Riddle 100% (3 pts) | - | Chris Riddle 60% (3 misses) | Mynor Strong 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Mynor Strong 50% (3 pts) | Rich Barron 50% (3 pts) | Angel Montas Jr. 33% (1 misses) | Jaylohn Allen 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-33 | 18.2 | 18 | Angel Montas Jr. 33% (6 pts) | Jaylan Ouwinga 17% (3 pts) | Mynor Strong 37% (10 misses) | Angel Montas Jr. 11% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-10 | 10.0 | 3 | Mynor Strong 100% (3 pts) | - | Mynor Strong 33% (3 misses) | Angel Montas Jr. 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-25 | 28.0 | 21 | Sean Jones 43% (9 pts) | Jaylan Ouwinga 29% (6 pts) | Jaylan Ouwinga 39% (7 misses) | Mynor Strong 28% (5 misses) |