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Bowling Green

Also known as: Bowling Green Falcons, Bowling Green
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

79.8
PPG
71.7
Opp
+8.1
Margin
46.7%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
72.6%
FT%
36.3
RPG
14.0
APG
11.7
TO
81.8
Pace
73.8
AdjO
72.6
AdjD
#143
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 921 (#241) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1024 (#158) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 963 (#581) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +1.2 (#146) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +13.1 (#182) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.650 (#85) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +27.1 More → 0.965 (#16) NetEff +27.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.1 More → 0.587 (#139) AdjNet +3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.0 More → 0.587 (#139) AdjNet +3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.529 (#143) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.592 (#128) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.773 (#161) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.730 (#163) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 29 More → 1026 (#217) RD 135 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Texas State Bobcats W 83 - 48
2025-11-06 vs Bethany (WV) Bison W 120 - 65
2025-11-09 vs Le Moyne Dolphins W 83 - 60
2025-11-15 @ Davidson Wildcats L 87 - 91
2025-11-19 vs William & Mary Tribe L 74 - 82
2025-11-24 vs Bucknell Bison W 71 - 66
2025-11-26 @ VMI Keydets W 81 - 48
2025-12-01 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 82 - 66
2025-12-16 vs Chicago State Cougars W 76 - 55
2025-12-20 @ Ohio Bobcats W 68 - 58
2025-12-22 vs Siena Heights Saints W 125 - 66
2025-12-30 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 83 - 93
2026-01-03 @ Massachusetts Minutemen W 101 - 100
2026-01-06 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 93 - 96
2026-01-09 vs Akron Zips L 67 - 77
2026-01-20 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 72 - 54
2026-01-24 @ Toledo Rockets L 72 - 73
2026-01-27 vs Buffalo Bulls L 78 - 89
2026-01-31 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 59 - 62
2026-02-03 vs Ball State Cardinals W 77 - 52
2026-02-07 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 54 - 91
2026-02-11 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 68 - 52
2026-02-14 vs Toledo Rockets W 80 - 70
2026-02-17 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 71 - 78
2026-02-21 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 77 - 91
2026-02-24 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 79 - 88
2026-02-28 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 81 - 62
2026-03-06 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 77 - 69
2026-03-12 @ Toledo Rockets L 76 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Campbell J. Campbell G 29 34.4 18.9 4.5 5.0 3.0 0.2 2.8 13.3 15.6 168 7.0 11.4 49.4 30.2 75.4 1.08 58.1 51.8
S. Towns S. Towns F 29 32.3 12.4 7.7 1.8 1.1 0.6 1.6 9.9 12.1 140 5.8 15.1 43.6 32.4 74.8 -0.34 54.2 49.3
Josiah Shackelford Josiah Shackelford - 29 23.0 11.3 3.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.0 8.9 6.4 133 6.0 14.0 44.2 36.1 72.3 0.78 55.5 51.7
M. Wol M. Wol F 29 19.9 9.9 2.6 0.7 1.0 0.4 1.1 7.4 6.0 96 4.4 10.9 47.7 37.5 73.6 0.22 60.0 57.4
J. Ruffin J. Ruffin G 28 23.7 7.8 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.9 5.9 5.9 149 7.1 14.3 39.8 40.2 86.4 0.59 58.5 53.9
Troy Glover Ii Troy Glover Ii - 29 22.8 7.6 5.3 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.0 4.9 9.7 107 4.9 10.2 66.9 0 50.0 0.19 65.3 66.9
J. Thomas J. Thomas G 27 26.4 5.1 3.6 2.8 1.1 0.4 1.4 4.1 7.4 -15 -3.0 -50.3 43.8 34.1 66.7 -0.11 53.6 50.4
Aiden Goins Aiden Goins - 22 8.9 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 3.3 1.9 38 2.5 24.5 39.7 21.1 85.7 0.05 50.4 42.5
Makhi Leach Makhi Leach - 23 8.3 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.3 2.0 48 2.8 21.9 42.6 11.8 75.0 -0.02 52.0 44.4
M. Maxamud M. Maxamud - 4 2.8 1.8 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.0 - - - 37.5 0.0 25.0 - 35.9 37.5
Camden Karel Camden Karel - 17 5.4 1.7 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.6 22 1.4 19.4 55.0 50.0 60.0 -0.02 59.4 57.5
Jason Kimbrough Jr. Jason Kimbrough Jr. - 12 6.4 1.6 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.0 57 6.3 118.6 29.4 30.0 100.0 0.01 48.4 38.2
P. Squire P. Squire F 4 5.0 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7 1.8 33.3 50.0 0.0 0 -0.01 50.0 50.0
Christian Dedivanaj Christian Dedivanaj - 4 2.2 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
A. Adem A. Adem - 4 3.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
G. Spurgin G. Spurgin F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Pardon J. Pardon G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG