Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.9% | 23.1% | -6.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -11 (79-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 37 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| S. Craig | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Parks | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 27 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. Strong | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Vanderjagt | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Ouwinga | 17 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| W. James Jr. | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Ode | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams | 37 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| B. Swartz | 27 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Burton | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Lewis | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| EJ Ryans | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Brewer | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Griffith | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Barnes | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Vis | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Peterson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Sulaka | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter