Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -15 (72-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade * | 38 | 8-15 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +16.9 |
| S. Orme * | 33 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | +12.6 |
| J. Jenkins * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +10.7 |
| B. Rogers * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +14.0 |
| N. McClain * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | +13.0 |
| J. Smiley | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +10.3 |
| D. Scharnowski | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +3.3 |
| I. West | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.6 |
| W. Miller | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.6 |
| E. Dillon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.9 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -12.5 |
| S. Craig * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -12.1 |
| L. Blyden Jr. * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -16.1 |
| K. Vanderjagt * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -14.0 |
| A. Parks * | 19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -5.5 |
| J. Ouwinga | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -14.8 |
| W. James Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Riddle | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.0 |
| M. Strong | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
| T. Ode | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.2 |
| L. Praytor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter