Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats -12 (67-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 37 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | +9.6 |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 36 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | +9.8 |
| S. Craig | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +11.9 |
| A. Parks | 27 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +8.5 |
| M. Strong | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +14.8 |
| J. Ouwinga | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -1.1 |
| W. James Jr. | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Vanderjagt | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paveletzke | 38 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -2 | -9.5 |
| A. Hadaway | 37 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -9.3 |
| J. Kelly | 36 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +2.6 |
| A. Sheldon | 34 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -9.3 |
| J. Simmons | 30 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | -8.7 |
| J. Breath | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8.8 |
| J. Burris | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| K. Kuany | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Conners | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.0 |
* = starter