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2026-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% -
Log Adjusted 29.1% 70.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% -

Actual: Toledo Rockets +20 (98-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sabol 40 10-21 6-16 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 26 11 -
D. Talton Jr. 35 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 8 9 -
N. Batchelor 34 2-2 1-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 5 10 -
A. Brizzi 34 7-13 2-4 5-6 4 2 2 0 5 21 11 -
T. Oboh 31 7-11 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 15 10 -
E. McKenna 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Buteliauskas 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wilson 35 10-14 4-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 24 18 -
S. Craig 34 6-13 1-4 1-2 5 0 2 0 0 14 8 -
L. Blyden Jr. 33 7-11 3-5 3-4 7 13 1 0 1 20 29 -
M. Strong 30 6-10 4-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 18 13 -
A. Parks 24 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 3 6 -
J. Ouwinga 19 4-6 0-1 3-4 2 1 1 1 0 11 10 -
W. James Jr. 15 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 1 2 6 9 -
K. Vanderjagt 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Nwokolo 1 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Ode 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Praytor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter