Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +23 (92-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 35 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 24 | -7.6 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 31 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -10.5 |
| Sean Craig | 24 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Austin Parks | 21 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Will James Jr. | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Kyler VanderJagt | 18 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -13.9 |
| London Praytor | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Mynor Strong | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Phoenix Glassnor | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.3 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 27 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +8.4 |
| Carson Cooper | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | +11.2 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 22 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | +7.7 |
| Coen Carr | 21 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.0 |
| Kur Teng | 17 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +18.6 |
| Cameron Ward | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Jordan Scott | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.4 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | -1.7 |
| Denham Wojcik | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.2 |
| Trey Fort | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.0 |
| Nick Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.2 |
| Colin Walton | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.3 |
| Brennan Walton | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.3 |
* = starter