Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +10 (91-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Blyden Jr. | 39 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | -7.3 |
| S. Wilson | 39 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | -9.6 |
| S. Craig | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -12.0 |
| J. Ouwinga | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -2.2 |
| K. Vanderjagt | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -4.9 |
| A. Parks | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -1.3 |
| M. Strong | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.4 |
| W. James Jr. | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 37 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | +5.3 |
| A. Lyles | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +13.5 |
| E. Mahaffey | 32 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| S. Scott | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -2.1 |
| E. Mahaffey | 23 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Z. Halligan | 20 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +4.6 |
| S. Young | 16 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 | +11.6 |
| B. Hardman | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.3 |
| M. Musiime-Kamali | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.0 |
* = starter