Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +16 (101-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paveletzke | 36 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | -16.4 |
| A. Sheldon | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -14.9 |
| J. Simmons | 30 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | -11.5 |
| A. Hadaway | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | -7.5 |
| J. Kelly | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -10.2 |
| J. Burris | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -7.7 |
| K. Kuany | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.6 |
| J. Breath | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.9 |
| D. Conners | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.9 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 37 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | +16.5 |
| S. Craig | 35 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +16.1 |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 35 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 23 | +14.8 |
| K. Vanderjagt | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +9.6 |
| J. Ouwinga | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +14.5 |
| A. Parks | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +0.5 |
| M. Strong | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +8.7 |
| W. James Jr. | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Ode | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| P. Glassnor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Nwokolo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Praytor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter