Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | +12.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +16 (101-85). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | -18.1 |
| Ajay Sheldon * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Javan Simmons * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | -9.6 |
| Aidan Hadaway * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | -7.9 |
| JJ Kelly * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -9.4 |
| Jesse Burris | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Kiir Kuany | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Jalen Breath | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Dior Conners | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.6 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson * | 37 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | +9.7 |
| Sean Craig * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +19.4 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. * | 35 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 23 | +14.1 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Austin Parks * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | -1.6 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Mynor Strong | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +7.2 |
| Will James Jr. | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Tyler Ode | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Toby Nwokolo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Phoenix Glassnor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| London Praytor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
* = starter