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2026-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Kent State Golden Flashes Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Log Adjusted 55.1% 44.9% -
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wilson 38 6-13 2-5 1-3 4 6 0 0 2 15 10 -9.3
A. Parks 31 5-8 0-1 6-6 3 4 1 2 3 16 15 +0.9
L. Blyden Jr. 31 6-11 4-7 3-5 6 2 1 1 1 19 17 -9.9
S. Craig 29 2-9 0-3 5-8 6 0 0 0 1 9 5 -14.6
M. Strong 23 2-4 0-1 2-3 2 1 2 0 1 6 6 +6.4
K. Vanderjagt 21 3-6 2-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 9 4 -13.0
J. Ouwinga 18 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 -5.9
W. James Jr. 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Ode 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Kent State Golden Flashes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gillespie 38 11-18 0-2 7-9 13 3 0 1 3 29 25 +15.5
C. Medley 33 2-8 2-5 5-6 1 9 2 0 1 11 14 +15.3
M. Safford 25 1-6 0-5 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 5 3 +18.0
Q. Woidke 22 0-4 0-4 3-4 1 3 0 0 0 3 3 +2.0
J. Williamson 20 5-7 5-7 4-4 1 0 1 0 0 19 14 +1.9
R. Whaley Jr. 19 4-10 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 1 2 10 6 +3.5
R. Griffith 16 2-2 0-0 0-2 8 0 1 0 1 4 10 -5.6
D. Briscoe 11 1-1 0-0 2-6 1 1 0 1 1 4 5 -4.6
M. Entenmann 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.3
B. Moss 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +1.0
O. Hamama 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

* = starter