Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +7 (90-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Lovejoy * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | -9.9 |
| T. Nadeau * | 28 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | -3.3 |
| T. Spratt * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -1.9 |
| L. Geeter * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +4.4 |
| N. Johnson * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.4 |
| L. Stone | 19 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Carter | 19 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -1.7 |
| L. Maiden | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -9.1 |
| J. Cotton | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5.2 |
| K. Fisher | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5.8 |
| X. Istomin-Monroe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.2 |
| R. Kalambay | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Blyden Jr. * | 39 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +7.9 |
| S. Craig * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | +7.3 |
| S. Wilson * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 7-11 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | +3.5 |
| K. Vanderjagt * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6.9 |
| A. Parks * | 26 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +10.2 |
| J. Ouwinga | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12.1 |
| M. Strong | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.7 |
| W. James Jr. | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Praytor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
| T. Ode | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
* = starter