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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Miami (OH) RedHawks Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% -
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% -
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% -

Actual: Miami (OH) RedHawks +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wilson 37 6-13 1-5 0-0 1 6 3 0 0 13 10 -
L. Blyden Jr. 36 9-18 1-5 2-2 2 2 4 0 1 21 10 -
S. Craig 28 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 5 8 -
M. Strong 25 4-10 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 10 6 -
J. Ouwinga 23 3-9 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 7 7 -
A. Parks 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 6 6 -
W. James Jr. 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 8 6 -
K. Vanderjagt 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Byers 34 4-8 3-6 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 13 8 -
P. Suder 34 7-10 4-7 1-5 4 4 3 1 1 19 20 -
E. Elmer 32 2-10 2-8 2-3 4 1 1 4 3 8 5 -
L. Skaljac 29 4-7 1-4 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 11 7 -
A. Woolfolk 22 6-10 1-2 1-1 6 0 0 0 2 14 8 -
A. Atlason 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 2 -3 -
J. Kirby 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 3 7 -
T. Perry 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 4 7 -
T. Robbins 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter