Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson * | 36 | 10-13 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | -0.9 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -5.9 |
| Sean Craig * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Kyler VanderJagt * | 28 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | -12.4 |
| Austin Parks * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4.4 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Chris Riddle | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +10.2 |
| Will James Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.3 |
| Mynor Strong | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.5 |
| London Praytor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Coo. Campbell * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Victor Valdes * | 33 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Kerrington Kiel * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +15.8 |
| Theo Seng * | 25 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | -3.6 |
| Austin Cross | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -19.3 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Javen Colbert | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Emmanuel Clarton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Corbin Green | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.1 |
* = starter