Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Towns | 40 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Thomas | 39 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Glover II | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Shackelford | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Campbell | 21 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Ruffin | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Wol | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Goins | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Leach | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 38 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Craig | 34 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 33 | 8-10 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| M. Strong | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Parks | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Vanderjagt | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Ouwinga | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| W. James Jr. | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter