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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Toledo Rockets +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Towns 40 4-10 0-3 1-3 9 3 1 1 0 9 13 -
J. Thomas 39 6-10 2-4 0-1 3 4 3 0 3 14 11 -
T. Glover II 34 6-8 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 0 0 13 15 -
J. Shackelford 23 4-10 1-4 0-1 1 1 1 0 1 9 1 -
J. Campbell 21 6-9 0-1 4-6 2 4 1 0 4 16 10 -
J. Ruffin 20 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 6 1 -
M. Wol 15 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
A. Goins 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Leach 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wilson 38 5-16 0-2 2-6 7 3 3 0 1 12 8 -
S. Craig 34 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 10 7 -
L. Blyden Jr. 33 8-10 4-4 3-4 6 2 1 1 3 23 20 -
M. Strong 30 4-10 1-3 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 10 4 -
A. Parks 28 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 3 10 11 -
K. Vanderjagt 15 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
J. Ouwinga 14 2-5 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
W. James Jr. 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter