Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | -3.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 39 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 37 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| S. Craig | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Ouwinga | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Parks | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Strong | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Vanderjagt | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| W. James Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Praytor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis | 33 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| B. Douglas | 28 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| K. Egbule | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Fowler | 25 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. McBride | 18 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Ricks III | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Brown | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Newhof | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Jones III | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Taylor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter