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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets James Madison Dukes Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: James Madison Dukes +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wilson 39 8-14 1-3 3-3 1 4 2 0 1 20 12 -
L. Blyden Jr. 37 8-19 3-7 5-5 3 5 2 0 1 24 14 -
S. Craig 27 1-3 0-1 1-3 5 1 1 0 0 3 7 -
J. Ouwinga 27 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 1 4 4 3 -
A. Parks 24 5-5 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 1 1 11 14 -
M. Strong 24 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
K. Vanderjagt 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
W. James Jr. 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Praytor 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Davis 33 5-12 2-7 6-6 2 1 1 0 3 18 7 -
B. Douglas 28 6-10 4-6 0-1 1 3 1 0 3 16 8 -
K. Egbule 25 2-7 1-5 1-1 4 3 0 1 2 6 5 -
P. Fowler 25 1-6 0-5 2-2 9 2 0 1 2 4 8 -
J. McBride 18 3-9 0-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
E. Ricks III 18 2-2 0-0 3-3 3 2 2 1 1 7 12 -
C. Brown 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 1 2 4 -
G. Newhof 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
E. Wilborn 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
P. Jones III 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Taylor 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter