Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Ryans | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -9.7 |
| J. Williams | 30 | 8-23 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | -1 | -13.0 |
| M. Burton | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -7.5 |
| T. Lewis | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -8.9 |
| J. Brewer | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -13.7 |
| J. Griffith | 19 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | -9.8 |
| S. Barnes | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -5.5 |
| B. Swartz | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7.2 |
| D. Peterson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8.3 |
| C. Vis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 38 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | +15.5 |
| K. Vanderjagt | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +15.8 |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 34 | 12-23 | 3-10 | 9-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 19 | +20.9 |
| S. Craig | 30 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +12.2 |
| A. Parks | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.0 |
| J. Ouwinga | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| W. James Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Strong | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +13.8 |
| L. Praytor | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
* = starter