Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 39 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 38 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| S. Craig | 32 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Parks | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| M. Strong | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Vanderjagt | 19 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Ouwinga | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| W. James Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Scott | 33 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| E. Mahaffey | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| A. Lyles | 31 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| B. Hardman | 29 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| E. Mahaffey | 19 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Young | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Musiime-Kamali | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Halligan | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter