Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Olsen | 38 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 8 | +1.7 |
| C. Harris | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -0.3 |
| J. Cooper | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +3.0 |
| P. Law | 27 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | +7.5 |
| R. Brady | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | -0.7 |
| J. Broom | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +2.3 |
| JJ Wheat | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -8.0 |
| H. Louis-Jeune | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.9 |
| B. Hawthorne | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.1 |
| S. Williams | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.9 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | -6.2 |
| K. Vanderjagt | 31 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +5.6 |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 30 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +7.8 |
| S. Craig | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +10.0 |
| J. Ouwinga | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0.8 |
| A. Parks | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6.1 |
| M. Strong | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -8.7 |
| T. Ode | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
| L. Praytor | 7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5.1 |
| W. James Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter