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Miami Heat

Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More → +14.3 (#9) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.577 (#10) -

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2007-02-25 vs CLE W 86 - 81
2007-02-26 @ NYK L 93 - 99
2007-02-28 @ WAS W 92 - 83
2007-03-02 vs DET W 85 - 82
2007-03-05 vs ATL W 88 - 81
2007-03-07 vs CHI W 103 - 70
2007-03-09 vs MIN W 105 - 91
2007-03-11 vs WAS W 106 - 104
2007-03-13 vs UTA W 88 - 86
2007-03-15 @ NJN W 93 - 86
2007-03-16 vs SAC W 103 - 97
2007-03-18 vs ORL L 83 - 97
2007-03-21 @ ATL W 91 - 83
2007-03-23 @ IND L 70 - 95
2007-03-24 vs PHI L 85 - 93
2007-03-26 vs ATL W 106 - 89
2007-03-28 @ TOR L 83 - 96
2007-03-30 @ MIN W 92 - 77
2007-04-01 @ DET L 88 - 94
2007-04-03 vs TOR W 92 - 89
2007-04-05 @ CLE W 94 - 90
2007-04-06 @ BOS W 88 - 85
2007-04-08 vs CHA L 103 - 111
2007-04-10 @ CHA L 82 - 92
2007-04-11 vs WAS W 85 - 82
2007-04-13 vs IND W 100 - 96
2007-04-16 vs BOS L 89 - 91
2007-04-18 @ ORL L 68 - 94

2007 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Shaquille O'Neal Shaquille O'Neal G 25 29.9 19.1 7.9 2.5 0.2 1.2 2.6 12.5 15.8 - - - 62.2 0 40.4 - 58.3 62.2
Dwyane Wade G 5 27.6 14.6 3.8 4.4 2.2 0.4 4.6 12.2 8.6 - - - 44.3 0.0 65.5 - 49.5 44.3
Jason Williams G 27 32.8 11.8 2.4 5.7 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 8.9 - - - 42.4 34.8 89.4 - 54.9 51.3
Eddie Jones G 27 32.8 10.8 4.2 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.7 9.0 9.4 - - - 43.4 37.0 85.7 - 56.3 53.7
Jason Kapono G 14 28.4 10.4 3.1 1.7 0.3 0.1 1.2 9.3 5.0 - - - 43.1 41.9 83.3 - 52.6 50.0
Udonis Haslem Udonis Haslem G 25 28.9 10.2 7.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.4 9.2 9.3 - - - 46.8 0.0 61.9 - 49.3 46.8
Antoine Walker G 28 23.1 9.0 4.4 2.0 0.5 0.2 2.0 9.1 5.0 - - - 37.9 27.6 56.2 - 45.6 44.1
James Posey G 27 29.4 8.9 5.6 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.9 6.9 9.8 - - - 44.3 34.5 82.5 - 57.4 52.4
Alonzo Mourning G 24 15.3 7.2 2.9 0.2 0.1 1.7 1.6 4.2 6.2 - - - 64.4 0 55.3 - 64.0 64.4
Gary Payton G 22 18.3 4.8 1.5 3.1 0.7 0.0 0.7 4.8 4.5 - - - 41.0 24.1 70.6 - 46.7 44.3
Chris Quinn G 12 11.4 4.7 0.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.8 - - - 41.9 50.0 68.8 - 56.0 52.3
Dorell Wright G 17 15.0 4.2 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 3.9 4.9 - - - 42.4 25.0 75.0 - 48.1 43.2
Michael Doleac G 13 11.5 4.0 2.8 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 3.7 3.4 - - - 43.8 0 90.9 - 49.2 43.8
Wayne Simien G 3 11.7 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.7 2.3 - - - 45.5 0 100.0 - 50.5 45.5
Earl Barron F 8 8.2 2.1 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.9 0.5 - - - 26.1 0 100.0 - 33.7 26.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG