Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (88-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Boozer * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 38 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 28 | 6-17 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter