Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (24.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +25 (95-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 19 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Earl Barron | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 34 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 16 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Keith McLeod * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Harrison | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maceo Baston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter