Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Hayes * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Donell Taylor * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 24 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Posey * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Earl Barron | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter