Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 44 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 41 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 40 | 7-22 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 38 | 2-14 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jason Maxiell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ronald Dupree | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 35 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 7-14 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 34 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 9 | - |
| James Posey * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter