Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (96-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| James Posey * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 17 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 38 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 13 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
* = starter