Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (100-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 42 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 8-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 28 | 2-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Keith McLeod * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 22 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 9-22 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 18 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter