Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +6 (94-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 43 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 38 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 35 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dale Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter