Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (106-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 42 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 16-17 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 26 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 39 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Darius Songaila | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 8-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 3-13 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter