Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (103-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 9-17 | 4-6 | 10-13 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 30 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 38 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 36 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| John Salmons * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Justin Williams * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 37 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 7-14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| James Posey * | 30 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter