Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (89-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delonte West * | 44 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 42 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 19 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Leon Powe * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Allan Ray * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kapono * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 22 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 22 | 2-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -4 | - |
| James Posey * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter