Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -9 (83-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 38 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| James Posey * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 44 | 3-18 | 0-8 | 9-12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 41 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 38 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 29 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Donell Taylor * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 18 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
* = starter