Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (92-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 43 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 28 | 2-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 27 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Luke Jackson * | 18 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Uros Slokar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 40 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 16 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter