Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (86-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 41 | 10-22 | 2-5 | 7-12 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 9 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| David Wesley * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donyell Marshall | 16 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Scot Pollard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kapono * | 38 | 6-18 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 29 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter