Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (90-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 41 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 24 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 48 | 11-21 | 2-5 | 11-13 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 24 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 46 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter