Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✗ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -14 (83-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 35 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 34 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter