Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (106-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 44 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 27 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Esteban Batista | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| James Posey * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 12-20 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter