Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 37 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| James Posey * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 41 | 12-26 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 39 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 17 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter