Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (103-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 47 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Walter Herrmann * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| James Posey * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 25 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 22 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter