Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (88-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 45 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 38 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Esteban Batista | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| James Posey * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
* = starter