Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Green * | 40 | 10-25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 2 | - |
| Allan Ray * | 40 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 33 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Leon Powe * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kevinn Pinkney * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter