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2007-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Miami Heat Spread Result
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 (28.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Miami Heat +33 (103-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Gordon * 36 6-18 1-6 1-1 8 4 1 0 2 14 7 -
Luol Deng * 35 3-14 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 1 2 8 1 -
Ben Wallace * 31 1-3 0-0 3-4 9 1 1 1 0 5 14 -
Kirk Hinrich * 30 5-11 1-3 0-0 2 1 3 0 6 11 0 -
Chris Duhon * 26 4-7 3-4 1-3 1 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
Tyrus Thomas * 21 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 0 3 8 8 -
P.J. Brown * 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Adrian Griffin * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Malik Allen * 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
Viktor Khryapa 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
Thabo Sefolosha 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Michael Sweetney 3 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Williams * 36 2-6 0-4 1-1 1 7 2 0 2 5 7 -
James Posey * 36 3-9 1-4 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 7 5 -
Eddie Jones * 33 8-11 6-8 1-1 2 6 3 2 0 23 25 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 31 12-18 0-0 0-5 9 8 0 1 1 24 23 -
Udonis Haslem * 30 5-9 0-1 2-2 6 0 2 0 2 12 9 -
Antoine Walker * 22 6-12 2-5 0-0 10 5 0 2 2 14 17 -
Gary Payton * 22 4-8 0-0 1-2 0 1 2 0 2 9 2 -
Alonzo Mourning * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 4 1 0 5 -
Michael Doleac 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Dorell Wright 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Earl Barron 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Chris Quinn 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter