Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✗ (28.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +26 (94-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 34 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Earl Barron | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 28 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| JJ Redick | 11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Pat Garrity | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 6 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
* = starter