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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2012 Team Stats (26 games)

78.8
PPG
68.6
Opp
+8.7
Margin
45.9%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
38.1
RPG
13.1
APG
11.7
TO
80.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1843 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1714 (#1) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +42.6 (#4) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.715 (#19) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.6 More → 0.820 (#24) NetEff +13.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.0 More → 0.798 (#24) AdjNet +12.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.1 More → 0.800 (#25) AdjNet +12.1

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Belmont Bruins W 77 - 76
2011-11-12 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 96 - 55
2011-11-15 @ Michigan State Spartans W 74 - 69
2011-11-18 vs Davidson Wildcats W 82 - 69
2011-11-21 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 77 - 67
2011-11-22 vs Michigan Wolverines W 82 - 75
2011-11-23 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 68 - 61
2011-11-29 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 63 - 85
2011-12-07 vs Colorado State Rams W 87 - 64
2011-12-10 vs Washington Huskies W 86 - 80
2011-12-19 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 90 - 63
2011-12-30 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 110 - 70
2012-01-01 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 85 - 55
2012-01-04 @ Temple Owls L 73 - 78
2012-01-07 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 81 - 74
2012-01-12 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 61 - 58
2012-01-15 @ Clemson Tigers W 73 - 66
2012-01-19 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 91 - 73
2012-01-21 vs Florida State Seminoles L 73 - 76
2012-01-25 @ Maryland Terrapins W 74 - 61
2012-01-28 vs St. John's Red Storm W 83 - 76
2012-02-02 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 75 - 60
2012-02-05 vs Miami Hurricanes L 74 - 78
2012-02-08 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 85 - 84
2012-02-11 vs Maryland Terrapins W 73 - 55
2012-02-16 vs NC State Wolfpack W 78 - 73
2012-02-19 @ Boston College Eagles W 75 - 50
2012-02-23 @ Florida State Seminoles W 74 - 66
2012-02-25 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 70 - 65
2012-02-28 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 79 - 71
2012-03-03 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 88
2012-03-09 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 60 - 56
2012-03-10 vs Florida State Seminoles L 59 - 62
2012-03-16 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 70 - 75

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. Williams E. Williams - 1 0.0 18.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 12.0 24.0 - - - 66.7 0 50.0 0.03 65.4 66.7
A. Rivers A. Rivers G 34 33.2 15.5 3.4 2.1 1.0 0.0 2.3 10.1 9.6 - - - 44.7 38.0 65.0 - 64.1 52.3
C. Wells C. Wells - 1 0.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 -36 -6.0 -3.3 44.4 0.0 100.0 0.42 60.1 44.4
S. Curry S. Curry G 34 30.2 13.2 2.6 2.4 1.3 0.2 2.0 8.6 9.1 - - - 42.5 38.7 85.7 - 67.6 51.9
R. Kelly R. Kelly F 31 25.9 11.8 5.4 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.4 6.8 11.9 - - - 43.9 40.2 79.4 - 68.6 51.7
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 34 28.4 11.1 9.2 1.6 0.8 1.6 2.2 6.5 15.6 - - - 57.7 0 49.7 - 66.5 57.7
Haley Peters Haley Peters - 1 0.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 3.0 - - - 41.7 0.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
A. Dawkins A. Dawkins G 34 22.4 8.4 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.8 5.8 4.9 - - - 39.8 38.5 71.4 - 66.4 54.3
C. Gray C. Gray - 1 0.0 7.0 7.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 8.0 - - - 27.3 0.0 100.0 - 30.6 27.3
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 34 20.5 6.6 7.1 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 3.9 10.7 - - - 62.6 0 64.6 - 70.8 62.6
Q. Cook Q. Cook G 33 11.7 4.4 1.0 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.5 3.2 4.1 - - - 40.2 25.9 77.1 - 57.0 46.7
T. Thornton T. Thornton G 34 21.1 4.1 1.9 2.0 0.9 0.0 1.0 2.3 5.6 - - - 40.3 38.2 77.5 - 72.9 53.9
S. Selby S. Selby - 1 0.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 75.0 - 26.0 0.0
J. Hairston J. Hairston F 29 8.5 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.1 2.0 - - - 45.0 0.0 66.7 - 55.3 45.0
M. Gbinije M. Gbinije F 19 5.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 - - - 55.0 40.0 100.0 - 71.5 65.0
T. Zafirovski T. Zafirovski F 5 2.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG