Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (82-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Burke * | 39 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Zack Novak * | 38 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Stu Douglass | 30 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jon Horford | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Colton Christian | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Kelly * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Andre Dawkins * | 35 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 34 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter