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Michigan Wolverines 75
@
Duke Blue Devils 82
2011-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% - ✓
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% - ✓
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Burke * 39 8-17 1-4 0-0 3 9 1 0 3 17 10 -
Z. Novak * 38 4-10 3-7 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 11 8 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 36 6-14 2-6 5-6 3 0 0 1 0 19 9 -
J. Morgan * 30 6-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 12 10 -
E. Smotrycz * 12 2-3 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 1 2 5 7 -
S. Douglass 30 4-7 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
M. Vogrich 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Horford 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Christian 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Kelly * 36 3-6 2-4 9-10 5 2 2 2 3 17 19 -
A. Rivers * 36 6-14 2-5 6-10 4 3 0 0 2 20 11 -
A. Dawkins * 35 5-12 4-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 14 4 -
S. Curry * 34 6-7 3-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 17 14 -
M. Plumlee * 29 3-3 0-0 0-3 5 2 2 1 3 6 10 -
M. Plumlee 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 4 4 -
T. Thornton 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
Q. Cook 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Hairston 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter