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2011-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 99.2% 0.8% -
Bradley-Terry 98.4% 1.6% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Log Adjusted 14.2% 85.8% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Plumlee * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 2 4 17 29 -
R. Kelly * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 17 24 -
S. Curry * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 9 13 -
A. Dawkins * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
A. Rivers * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 10 13 -
T. Thornton 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 11 -
M. Plumlee 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Q. Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Taylor * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 11 17 14 -
T. Robinson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 0 1 1 1 16 32 -
T. Releford * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 10 -
E. Johnson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 10 10 -
J. Withey * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 2 1 14 26 -
C. Teahan 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Wesley 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Tharpe 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter