Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dawkins * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 33 | - |
| S. Curry * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 33 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| A. Rivers * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| R. Kelly | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| T. Thornton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Hairston | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 19 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| A. Payne * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - |
| K. Appling * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 25 | - |
| B. Wood * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| T. Trice II | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Nix | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Byrd | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Gauna | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Kearney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter