Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +8.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zeglinski * | 37 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Scott * | 34 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| J. Evans * | 31 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Harris * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Sene * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Brogdon | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Atkins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Curry * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 33 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| R. Kelly * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Rivers * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 29 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Thornton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter