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2011-12-19

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 0.9% 99.1% -
Bradley-Terry 3.9% 96.1% -
Margin 0.8% 99.2% +26.3 (0.7 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +27 (90-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Paulos 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Van Dussen * 32 2-5 0-2 0-2 3 4 2 0 3 4 5 -
D. Williams * 32 2-6 0-1 1-3 4 3 4 1 5 5 6 -
D. Parker * 27 2-2 1-1 3-4 3 2 1 0 2 8 10 -
A. Brackett * 25 5-10 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 3 -
T. Simpson * 20 1-10 0-2 2-3 6 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
D. Armstrong 22 4-10 1-3 2-4 3 2 2 0 0 11 8 -
K. Randall 18 4-7 2-4 2-2 0 3 0 0 0 12 8 -
A. Henry 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
T. Hoffer 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Robinson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bethea 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. McNeely 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rivers * 26 5-11 2-5 2-4 3 2 0 0 2 14 6 -
M. Plumlee * 24 6-8 0-0 3-8 13 2 0 2 2 15 22 -
S. Curry * 20 2-6 1-4 4-4 0 0 4 0 4 9 3 -
R. Kelly * 18 1-3 1-2 7-10 4 1 1 2 1 10 14 -
T. Thornton * 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 3 3 -
A. Dawkins 27 4-6 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 11 8 -
M. Plumlee 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 1 2 0 12 -
Q. Cook 18 6-7 2-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 14 8 -
M. Gbinije 14 2-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
J. Hairston 11 2-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
T. Zafirovski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter