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2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 5.8% 94.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +20.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +18 (91-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Chennault * 35 5-14 0-3 3-5 3 2 3 0 1 13 6 -
Travis McKie * 35 6-12 0-3 4-8 10 1 2 0 4 16 13 -
C.J. Harris * 32 6-8 2-3 6-6 3 3 0 0 5 20 13 -
Nikita Mescheriakov * 25 4-8 0-2 4-6 4 0 2 0 2 12 8 -
Ty Walker * 16 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 4 2 4 6 -
Chase Fischer 27 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Carson Desrosiers 24 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 2 0 2 4 -
Daniel Green 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Ryan Keenan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Dawkins * 26 7-13 7-12 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 21 9 -
M. Plumlee * 23 2-7 0-0 4-6 9 1 1 0 3 8 9 -
M. Plumlee * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
Seth Curry * 19 7-9 0-1 0-2 1 2 3 0 1 14 10 -
Quinn Cook * 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
Austin Rivers 32 6-11 3-4 5-6 3 0 1 0 2 20 11 -
Ryan Kelly 27 8-11 0-1 4-5 10 4 1 0 1 20 23 -
Tyler Thornton 21 0-3 0-3 1-2 3 8 1 0 1 1 9 -
Josh Hairston 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Michael Gbinije 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Todd Zafirovski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter