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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 15.4% 84.6% -
Margin 4.7% 95.3% +16.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +6 (86-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Stewart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Wilcox * 37 10-19 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 22 6 -
A. Gaddy * 36 2-4 0-2 3-5 2 7 1 0 1 7 12 -
T. Ross * 33 7-17 2-5 0-1 7 2 1 0 0 16 9 -
D. Gant * 19 2-3 0-1 2-3 4 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
A. N'Diaye * 17 2-7 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Simmons 32 0-3 0-1 2-4 6 3 3 0 2 2 9 -
T. Wroten 24 8-12 1-1 6-8 5 0 1 0 5 23 12 -
M. Breunig 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Plumlee * 30 5-8 0-0 2-11 9 1 3 2 2 12 17 -
S. Curry * 30 2-5 0-1 4-4 2 3 0 0 5 8 3 -
T. Thornton * 30 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 3 0 0 3 2 5 -
R. Kelly * 27 6-15 1-2 3-5 8 1 3 2 1 16 14 -
A. Rivers * 25 6-13 2-5 4-4 4 3 0 0 3 18 9 -
A. Dawkins 32 5-13 2-9 5-6 4 2 0 0 0 17 10 -
M. Plumlee 20 3-3 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 3 0 9 17 -
Q. Cook 4 0-0 0-0 4-6 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Hairston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Gbinije 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter