Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | +9.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -5 (70-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackey McKnight * | 38 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| John Adams * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Gabe Knutson * | 27 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 39 | 9-24 | 2-7 | 10-16 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 16 | - |
| B.J. Bailey | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Justin Maneri | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Holden Greiner | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Plumlee * | 34 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Austin Rivers * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 25 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Michael Gbinije | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter